切换至 "中华医学电子期刊资源库"

中华医学超声杂志(电子版) ›› 2024, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (01) : 42 -48. doi: 10.3877/cma.j.issn.1672-6448.2024.01.006

妇产科超声影像学

孕11~13+6周子宫动脉与左心室参数对子痫前期的预测模型构建与验证
梁越1, 董晓秋1,(), 李奇默1, 李岩1, 姚金来1, 朴雪梅2   
  1. 1. 150000 哈尔滨医科大学附属第四医院超声医学科
    2. 150000 哈尔滨医科大学附属第四医院产科
  • 收稿日期:2023-01-13 出版日期:2024-01-01
  • 通信作者: 董晓秋

Construction and validation of a prediction model for pre-eclampsia based on uterine artery and left ventricular parameters at 11-13+6 weeks of pregnancy

Yue Liang1, Xiaoqiu Dong1,(), Qimo Li1, Yan Li1, Jinlai Yao1, Xuemei Piao2   

  1. 1. Department of Ultrasound, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150000, China,
    2. Department of Obstetrics, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150000, China
  • Received:2023-01-13 Published:2024-01-01
  • Corresponding author: Xiaoqiu Dong
引用本文:

梁越, 董晓秋, 李奇默, 李岩, 姚金来, 朴雪梅. 孕11~13+6周子宫动脉与左心室参数对子痫前期的预测模型构建与验证[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(01): 42-48.

Yue Liang, Xiaoqiu Dong, Qimo Li, Yan Li, Jinlai Yao, Xuemei Piao. Construction and validation of a prediction model for pre-eclampsia based on uterine artery and left ventricular parameters at 11-13+6 weeks of pregnancy[J/OL]. Chinese Journal of Medical Ultrasound (Electronic Edition), 2024, 21(01): 42-48.

目的

探讨孕11-13+6周孕妇子宫动脉血流及左心室参数与子痫前期的相关性及其预测价值。

方法

选取2020年1月至2022年9月于哈尔滨医科大学附属第四医院首次产检的孕11~13+6周孕妇,收集孕妇临床资料,包括年龄、收缩压、舒张压、平均动脉压(MAP)等参数,应用超声检测子宫动脉搏动指数(PI)、阻力指数(RI)、收缩期/舒张期血流速度(S/D)、左心室二尖瓣环舒张早期平均峰值速度(e')、二尖瓣舒张早期峰值流速/二尖瓣环舒张早期平均峰值速度(E/e')等参数,随访获得子痫前期组108例,随机选取同期符合标准正常孕妇110例作为对照组,采用t检验或U检验比较2组间各参数的差异。通过Logistic回归法筛选出子痫前期的独立影响因素并构建预测子痫前期的诺曼模型,通过受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线对预测模型的准确性进行评估,绘制校准曲线分析预测模型的校准度。

结果

与对照组比较,子痫前期组孕妇年龄[(30.07±5.03)岁vs(29.35±6.49)岁]、收缩压[(111.75±5.20)mmHg vs(109.62±8.19)mmHg]、舒张压[(70.06±6.37)mmHg vs(68.62±6.35)mmHg]、MAP[(82.30±7.54)mmHg vs(81.06±7.27)mmHg]、子宫动脉PI[(1.85±0.64)vs(1.64±0.57)]、RI[(0.71±0.12)vs(0.69±0.11)]、S/D[(4.33±1.64)vs(4.25±1.70)]和左心室E/e'[(8.32±0.91)vs(7.54±0.84)]比较均高,左心室e'小于对照组[(9.81±1.74)cm/s vs(10.63±1.82)cm/s],差异均具有统计学意义(t=0.923、2.309、1.601、1.167、2.441、1.240、0.937、6.301、3.256;P=0.034、0.008、0.010、0.014、0.005、0.013、0.025、0.001、0.002)。Logistic回归法筛选得出孕妇MAP[比值比(OR)=1.08,P=0.002]、子宫动脉PI(OR=2.54,P=0.004)、RI(OR=1.56,P=0.012)、左心室e'(OR=0.71,P=0.004)、E/e'(OR=1.68,P=0.013)是子痫前期的独立影响因素。诺曼模型预测子痫前期的ROC曲线下面积为0.81(95%CI:0.75~0.87),敏感度为73.14%,特异度为77.82%,预测模型校准度良好,对子痫前期的预测具有较好的准确性。

结论

孕11~13+6周孕妇的MAP、子宫动脉PI、RI以及左心室e'、E/e'对子痫前期的预测具有一定的临床参考价值;基于早孕期孕妇MAP、子宫动脉PI、RI以及左心室e'、E/e'构建的诺曼模型预测子痫前期具有较好的准确性,对子痫前期患者的早期管理具有重要意义,可在一定程度上提高临床诊断效能。

Objective

To assess the predictive value of uterine artery and left ventricular parameters for pre-eclampsia in women at 11-13+6 weeks of pregancy.

Methods

Pregnant women at 11-13+6 weeks of gestation who had their first prenatal examination at the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from January 2020 to September 2022 were selected, and their clinical data were collected, including age, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, mean arterial pressure (MAP), and other parameters.Ultrasound was applied to detect the uterine artery pulsatility index (PI), resistance index (RI), systolic/diastolic velocity ratio (S/D), left ventricular mean early diastolic mitral annular velocity (e'), mitral early diastolic peak velocity/mean early diastolic mitral annular velocity (E/e'), and other parameters. Pregnancy outcomes were recorded, based on which 108 cases of pre-eclampsia were identified, and 110 normal pregnant women were randomly selected as a control group. The t test or U test was used to compare the differences in the above parameters between the two groups. The independent influencing factors of pre-eclampsia were screened out by Logistic regression analysis, and a prediction model was constructed based on these factors. The accuracy of the prediction model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and the calibration curve was drawn to analyze the calibration degree of the prediction model.

Results

Age [(30.07±5.03) vs (29.35±6.49)], systolic blood pressure [(111.75±5.20) mmHg vs (109.62±8.19) mmHg], diastolic blood pressure [(70.06±6.37) mmHg vs (68.62±6.35) mmHg], MAP [(82.30±7.54) mmHg vs (81.06±7.27) mmHg], uterine artery PI [(1.85±0.64) vs (1.64±0.57)], RI [(0.71±0.12) vs (0.69±0.11)], S/D [(4.33±1.64) vs (4.25±1.70)], and left ventricular E/e' [(8.32±0.91) vs (7.54±0.84)] of pregnant women in the pre-eclampsia group were significantly greater than those of the control group (t=0.923, 2.309, 1.601, 1.167, 2.441, 1.240, 0.937, and 6.301; P=0.034, 0.008, 0.010, 0.014, 0.005, 0.013, 0.025, and 0.001, respectively), while the e' [(9.81±1.74) vs (10.63±1.82)] of the left ventricle was smaller than that of the control group (t=3.256, P=0.002). Logistic regression analysis identified that MAP, uterine artery PI and RI, and left ventricular e' and E/e' were independent influencing factors of pre-eclampsia (odds ratio=1.08, 2.54, 1.56, 0.71, and 1.68; P=0.002, 0.004, 0.012, 0.004, and 0.013, respectively). The area under the curve of the nomogram model based on the above independent influencing factors for predicting pre-eclampsia was 0.81 (95% confidence interval: 0.75-0.87), with a sensitivity of 73.14% and specificity of 77.82%. The prediction model was well calibrated and had a high predictive accuracy for pre-eclampsia.

Conclusion

MAP, uterine artery PI and RI, and left ventricular e' and E/e' of pregnant women at 11-13+6 weeks of pregnancy have appreciated value for the prediction of pre-eclampsia. The nomogram model constructed based on MAP, uterine artery PI and RI, and left ventricular e' and E/e' of pregnant women in early pregnancy has good accuracy in predicting pre-eclampsia, is of great significance for the early management of patients with pre-eclampsia, and can improve the efficiency of clinical diagnosis.

图1 孕妇子宫动脉血流频谱图 注:PI为搏动指数;RI为阻力指数;S/D为收缩期/舒张期流速
图2 孕妇超声心动图。图a为左心室长轴切面取样图;图b为心尖四腔切面脉冲多普勒取样图;图c为心尖四腔切面组织多普勒取样图 注:E为二尖瓣舒张早期峰值流速;A为二尖瓣舒张晚期峰值流速;e'为二尖瓣环舒张早期平均峰值速度
表1 2组孕妇一般临床特征参数比较(
表2 2组孕妇子宫动脉血流参数比较(
表3 2组孕妇左心室形态与功能参数比较
表4 孕妇临床特征参数、子宫动脉参数及左心室参数对子痫前期影响的多因素分析
图3 各指标预测子痫前期的诺曼模型 注:MAP为平均动脉压;PI为搏动指数;RI为阻力指数;e'为二尖瓣环舒张早期平均峰值速度;E/e'为二尖瓣舒张早期峰值流速/二尖瓣环舒张早期平均峰值速度
图4 诺曼模型预测子痫前期的受试者操作特征曲线
图5 预测子痫前期的诺曼模型的校准曲线
1
中华医学会妇产科学分会妊娠期高血压疾病学组. 妊娠期高血压疾病诊治指南(2020) [J]. 中华妇产科杂志, 2020, 55(4): 227-238.
2
王伽略, 杨孜. 子痫前期发生和发展过程中的预防 [J]. 中华产科急救电子杂志, 2021, 10(3): 133-137.
3
ACOG Practice Bulletin No.202: Gestational Hypertension and Pre-eclampsia [J]. Obstet Gynecol, 2020, 135(6): e237-e260.
4
Webster K, Fishburn S, Maresh M, et al. Diagnosis and management of hypertension in pregnancy: summary of updated NICE guidance [J]. BMJ, 2019, 366: 5119.
5
储倩倩, 张羽. 再谈子痫前期的预测 [J/OL].中华产科急救电子杂志, 2021, 10(4): 201-205.
6
Salvesen K, Lees C, Abramowicz J, et al. ISUOG statement on the safe use of Doppler in the 11 to 13+6-week fetal ultrasound examination [J]. Ultrasound in Obstet Gynecol, 2011, 37(6): 628.
7
Lang RM, Badano LP, Mor-Avi V, et al. Recommendations for cardiac chamber quantification by echocardiography in adults: an update from the American Society of Echocardiography and the European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging [J]. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging, 2015, 16(3): 233-270.
8
Poon LC, Kametas NA, Valencia C, et al. Hypertensive disorders in pregnancy: screening by systolic diastolic and mean arterial pressure at 11-13 weeks [J]. Hypertens Pregnancy, 2011, 30(1): 93-107.
9
Zhu J, Zhang J, Syaza RN, et al. Mean arterial pressure for predicting pre-eclampsia in Asian women: a longitudinal cohort study [J]. BMJ Open, 2021, 11(8): e046161.
10
Khaw A, Kametas NA, Turan OM, et al. Maternal cardiac function and uterine artery Doppler at 11-14 weeks in the prediction of pre-eclampsia in nulliparous women [J]. BJOG, 2008, 115(3): 369-376.
11
Nicolaides KH, Wright D. Re: Prediction of pre-eclampsia: review of reviews [J]. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol, 2019, 54(4): 564-565.
12
李晓菲, 吴青青, 马玉庆, 等. 妊娠早期子宫动脉血流频谱与不良妊娠结局的相关性研究 [J/CD]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2011, 8(4): 786-793.
13
Melchiorre K, Leslie K, Prefumo F, et al. First-trimester uterine artery Doppler indices in the prediction of small-for-gestational age pregnancy and intrauterine growth restriction [J]. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol, 2009, 33(5): 524-529.
14
Bamfo JE, Kametas NA, Chambers JB, et al. Maternal cardiac function in normotensive and pre-eclamptic intrauterine growth restriction [J]. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol, 2008, 32(5): 682-686.
15
寿列军, 解左平, 孙雪东, 等. 运用超声心动图评价妊娠期高血压疾病患者左室形态和功能变化及其与N端脑利钠肽前体的相关性研究 [J/CD]. 中华危重症医学杂志(电子版), 2017, 10(2): 103-108.
16
Yue CY, Gao JP, Zhang CY, et al. Development and validation of a nomogram for the early prediction of pre-eclampsia in pregnant Chinese women [J]. Hypertens Res, 2021, 44(4): 417-425.
[1] 李晓妮, 卫青, 孟庆龙, 牛丽莉, 田月, 吴伟春, 朱振辉, 王浩. 超声心动图在孤立性左心室心尖发育不良疾病中的应用价值[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(10): 937-942.
[2] 陈慧, 姚静, 张宁, 刘磊, 马秀玲, 王小贤, 方爱娟, 管静静. 超声心动图在多发性骨髓瘤心脏淀粉样变中的诊断价值[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(10): 943-949.
[3] 戴飞, 赵博文, 潘美, 彭晓慧, 陈冉, 田园诗, 狄敏. 胎儿心脏超声定量多参数对主动脉缩窄胎儿心脏结构及功能的诊断价值[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(10): 950-958.
[4] 刘思锐, 赵辰阳, 张睿, 张一休, 杨萌. 多普勒超声对孕鼠子宫动脉不同节段血流动力学参数的评估[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(09): 877-883.
[5] 王益佳, 周青, 曹省, 袁芳洁, 周妍, 张梅. 中国经胸超声心动图检查存图及报告质控现状分析[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(07): 657-663.
[6] 莫莹, 李文秀, 李刚, 王霄芳, 王强, 丁文虹. 超声心动图在三尖瓣下移畸形中的临床应用价值[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(07): 702-708.
[7] 王秋莲, 张莹, 李春敏, 徐树明, 张玉奇. 胎儿主动脉弓部梗阻伴发复杂心内畸形的产前超声诊断及漏误诊分析[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(07): 718-725.
[8] 夏靖涵, 林凤娇, 王胰, 丁戈琦, 张清凤, 张红梅, 谢盛华, 李明星, 尹立雪, 李文华. 二尖瓣空间变化联合左心房应变对肥厚型心肌病合并左心室流出道梗阻的预测价值[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(06): 585-592.
[9] 王岚, 徐斌胜, 谢乐. 肥厚型心肌病的经胸超声心动图诊断与心电图表现特征[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(06): 593-596.
[10] 曹雨欣, 毛卓君, 梁嘉赫, 伊江浦, 张泽凯, 马文帅, 陈云涛, 李晓倩, 张宇新, 曹铁生, 袁丽君. 3D打印心脏模型在模拟左心耳封堵术临床教学中的应用价值[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(06): 602-607.
[11] 周容, 张亚萍, 廖宇, 程晓萍, 管玉龙, 潘广玉, 闫杰, 王贤芝, 苟中山, 潘登科, 李巅远. 超声在基因编辑猪-猴异种并联式心脏移植术中的应用价值[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(06): 617-623.
[12] 孔莹, 惠品晶, 丁亚芳, 周炳元. 基于对比增强经颅多普勒的多模式超声评估卵圆孔未闭相关右向左分流的临床意义[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(04): 345-351.
[13] 卢天祺, 张巍, 周康, 毕士玉, 张羽, 杨秀华. 血流向量成像技术在不同Child-Pugh分级乙肝患者左心功能评价中的价值[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(04): 352-360.
[14] 罗刚, 泮思林, 孙玲玉, 李志新, 陈涛涛, 乔思波, 庞善臣. 一种新型语义网络分析模型对室间隔完整型肺动脉闭锁和危重肺动脉瓣狭窄胎儿右心发育不良程度的评价作用[J/OL]. 中华医学超声杂志(电子版), 2024, 21(04): 377-383.
[15] 王雪, 梁佳, 张伊. 超声心动图联合心电图对游泳运动员左心室肥厚的预测价值[J/OL]. 中华临床医师杂志(电子版), 2024, 18(04): 369-374.
阅读次数
全文


摘要